According to Vegas, and every analyst on ESPN, CBS, and FOX, the Colts should win. This is all fine and dandy. You can choose your picks on the basis of how good Peyton Manning is on SNL or how disheveled Pierre Garcon is about his homeless ancestors. Go ahead and do that. You just leave the statistical analysis to me.
Now, I'm not a math major, or statistics major, but to become a member of the business school at the University of Kansas, you have to take a statistics class. So this is why I have some accreditation. Normally here at the Perm, we refer to the National Association of Madeup Stats to get our information. This is actually not the case for once. Basically what I did was take the games where the Colts and Saints played the same opponents and broke down the score differential between the two teams, because they won every one. This is what I came up with.
Take what you will from this, because I'm an amateur at this, but statistically on this level, the Saints should be favored. This in no way considers the playoffs, or how well Pey-Pey is playing, but at the same time, it is statistically significant. Still, the original analysis brought up a coin flip so that's what I expect really. Not to mention, the Football Outsiders agree with me. All in all, I will be cheering on Dat Saints. WHO DAT? DREW BREES DAT!